An analysis of Expected Goals (xG) statistics from the 2023/24 and 2024/25 Premier League seasons has revealed surprising trends that fantasy managers should take into account when building squads for 2025/26. The standout performers? Crystal Palace and Bournemouth—two clubs with significantly improved attacking metrics. However, when looking at estatísticas de crystal palace x nottingham forest, other insights emerge.
Crystal Palace x Nottingham Forest: Performance by the Numbers
Under Oliver Glasner, Crystal Palace made significant strides in their offensive play. Their xG rose from 49.15 in 2023/24 to 61.33 in 2024/25—a +12.18 improvement, the highest among Premier League clubs. Meanwhile, when evaluating estatísticas de nottingham forest x crystal palace, Forest appear to have taken a different path. Although they scored 58 goals, their xG was only 46.57, suggesting a +11.43 xG Delta—marking them as the biggest overachievers last season.
Best xG Improvement, 2023/24 to 2024/25
| Club | xG, 2023/24 | xG, 2024/25 | xG Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 49.15 | 61.33 | +12.18 |
| Bournemouth | 56.69 | 64.94 | +8.25 |
| Brighton | 58.02 | 59.21 | +1.19 |
| Brentford | 59.84 | 60.17 | +0.33 |
| Fulham | 51.56 | 49.46 | -2.10 |
| Wolves | 47.58 | 44.37 | -3.21 |
| Man Utd | 56.93 | 53.48 | -3.45 |
| Nottingham Forest | 50.35 | 46.57 | -3.78 |
| West Ham | 52.92 | 48.08 | -4.84 |
| Liverpool | 89.37 | 83.46 | -5.91 |
| Chelsea | 75.27 | 69.18 | -6.09 |
| Aston Villa | 64.72 | 57.31 | -7.41 |
| Spurs | 68.95 | 59.65 | -9.30 |
| Newcastle | 77.08 | 65.36 | -11.72 |
| Everton | 54.90 | 42.38 | -12.52 |
| Man City | 81.94 | 69.16 | -12.78 |
| Arsenal | 77.42 | 61.58 | -15.84 |
Looking specifically at nottingham forest x crystal palace, it becomes evident that while Forest outscored their xG, Palace underperformed despite generating more quality chances. Palace scored only 51 goals from their 61.33 xG—an xG Delta of -10.33, the worst underperformance in the league. This highlights their attacking potential and suggests improvement is likely if key players step up.
Key Underperformers and Overachievers
In the context of estatísticas de nottingham forest x crystal palace, Nottingham Forest emerge as an anomaly. Scoring 58 goals from an xG of 46.57, they posted the league’s highest xG Delta (+11.43), indicating a potential regression to the mean in 2025/26.
Biggest xG Underperformers, 2024/25
| Club | Goals | xG | xG Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 51 | 61.33 | -10.33 |
| Man Utd | 44 | 53.48 | -9.48 |
| Bournemouth | 58 | 64.94 | -6.94 |
| Chelsea | 64 | 69.18 | -5.18 |
| West Ham | 46 | 48.08 | -2.08 |
| Everton | 42 | 42.38 | -0.38 |
| Aston Villa | 58 | 57.31 | +0.69 |
| Liverpool | 86 | 83.46 | +2.54 |
| Newcastle | 68 | 65.36 | +2.64 |
| Man City | 72 | 69.16 | +2.84 |
| Spurs | 64 | 59.65 | +4.35 |
| Fulham | 54 | 49.46 | +4.54 |
| Brentford | 66 | 60.17 | +5.83 |
| Brighton | 66 | 59.21 | +6.79 |
| Arsenal | 69 | 61.58 | +7.42 |
| Wolves | 54 | 44.37 | +9.63 |
| Nottingham Forest | 58 | 46.57 | +11.43 |
Fantasy Takeaway for 2025/26
Crystal Palace’s xG numbers suggest massive upside for Jean-Philippe Mateta, Eberechi Eze, and Ismaila Sarr, particularly if they can convert more of their chances. In contrast, those relying on Nottingham Forest assets should exercise caution, as their xG trends indicate they may not replicate their goal tally.
When considering crystal palace x nottingham forest matchups next season, the data hints that Palace might have the stronger underlying attacking profile, while Forest’s efficiency may be unsustainable.
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